Houston Texans at New Orleans Saints
One thing you can count on is that the New Orleans Saints have blood in their eyes after last year’s BAD call vs the Rams. Will that have an impact on their performance on Monday Night? I believe it definitely will.
Another point to take into account is the fact that this is a Prime Time game, which means the oddsmakers will pump an extra point to the favorite team and the OVER, speaking in general terms.
The line opened at New Orleans -7 and 53½. It has gone down to Saints -6½ and 52 by Saturday afternoon. Why is all that important? because it shows you the market tendency.
The Saints have a very high value but they are a “rithm offense“, in other words, they get better as time goes by. Laying 7 points on their very first game of the season is a little too much, and the line movement proves just that. The public is finding value on the Texans plus the points.
Same goes for the OVER. Although these are two high-profile offensive teams, you must take into account the added points to the OVER, which makes the UNDER have the edge.
This is a tough game to predict but what sounds like a great option is a TEASER.
Game prediction: The Saint will probably WIN this game but laying 7 points is risky. Make a 2 team teaser with Saints and the UNDER and hurry up! the tendencies are working against you!